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「我只係信科學！」每次聽到這句話，都只有笑而不語；聲稱信科學的人，究竟信甚麼？
理論，可以分有用無用；但任何理論，遲早都可能被推翻。信科學，就要只有懷疑一切理論。
https://fee.org/articles/a-40-year-old-warning-on-how-humanity-s-unbound-confidence-in-science-can-undermine-reason-and-lead-to-collectivism/
After I posted on my leave plans on Sunday, a few of you asked what was on my reading list, so I am sharing some books I have read / am reading / or hope to read. Three of the books are available from the National Library Singapore. Do check out the NLB app (iOS: https://go.gov.sg/moiqhc | Android: https://go.gov.sg/hu17bc). It is a marvellous resource, and you will definitely be able to discover many books to suit your interests.
[ Nuclear Folly, a History of the Cuban Missile Crisis
by Serhii Plokhy ]
The Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962 brought the world to the brink of nuclear war. I had read "13 Days", the short memoir by Robert Kennedy about it as a teenager, and later Graham Allison's "Essence of Decision", a seminal study using the Crisis to analyse decision making from different perspectives. Both were mainly based on US records. Plokhy's book draws on Soviet archives, to present events from both the US and Soviet points of view. Many mistakes were made on both sides. The saving grace was that both President John Kennedy and General Secretary Nikita Khrushchev desperately wanted to avoid a nuclear war. But even then the two sides avoided a nuclear exchange only by a hair’s breadth, and only by chance, because events once set in motion were no longer entirely within the two leaders' control. A gripping read.
[ The Bilingual Brain, and what it tells us about the science of language
by Albert Costa ]
Having learnt several languages myself, and grappled with our bilingualism policy in schools, this book was a natural choice. I am still reading it. Did you know that a newborn infant already recognises and prefers the language (or languages) which their mother spoke while they were in her womb, and within hours of birth can also distinguish between two different languages that they have never heard before? Infants pick up a language (or two) naturally in their first years, but learning a second or third language later in life is much harder. This book explains why.
[ Capturing Light, the Heart of Photography
by Michael Freeman ]
A book about the different sorts of light, how they influence the photo you take, and how to use them to create the effect and mood that you want. Photographers know about the golden hour and blue hour, hard light and soft light, direct and indirect lighting, front and back lighting, haze, mist and fog, and so many more variations. The book includes lots of the author’s photos illustrating his points, taken over many years. Hope to pick up something from reading it. But the key in photography (as in so many other skills) is to practise and practise, if you want to improve.
[ Bettering Humanomics, A New, and Old, Approach to Economic Science
by Deidre Nansen McCloskey ]
The author, a distinguished economist, argues that economics is not just about incentives and institutions, mathematical models and observed behaviour. It should take a broader, more humanistic approach, paying attention to ethics and values, “what people believe, and the stories they tell one another”, as one reviewer put it. Certainly in government we must think about these broader factors all the time, while making sure we get the economics right. Not just in trade and industry or finance, but also in national development, education, health, manpower, sustainability and the environment, social and family development, and so much of public policy. I haven't read this book yet, but saw an enthusiastic book review, and look forward to reading the book itself.
Happy reading! – LHL
【2020 最強魔法💫成果回顧】
各位同學好 🧙♂️
請翻到魔法課本2020頁 📚
讓我們一起看看今年的成果回顧
✔️台美關係強健，堅實合作夥伴
✔️防疫連結世界，世界看見台灣
✔️台歐關係深厚，交流成果亮眼
✔️美歐非設館處，擴大戰略布局
✔️全球議員集力，公開表達挺台
✔️能見度續提升，贏得國際肯定
小編還精心準備辣個圖片筆記 📝
有著滿滿魔法亮點 🪄
記得要看完嘿 👉🏽 https://reurl.cc/VXk4Mb
#魔法小編筆寫禿了也變強了
#連結世界 #布局全球
#貢獻國際 #彰顯臺灣
#明年也要加油喔
𝒜 𝐿𝑜𝑜𝓀 𝐵𝒶𝒸𝓀 𝑜𝓃 ②⓪②⓪
Taiwan has been faced with many challenges in terms of diplomacy in 2020, despite this, MOFA has continued to uphold Taiwan’s sovereignty, dignity and rights, raising Taiwan’s international profile and forging connections around the world.
1⃣ Taiwan-US Stronger relationship
🔺US Secretary of Health and Human Services Alex Azar II and Under Secretary of State Keith Krach visited Taiwan
🔺 The inaugural US-Taiwan Economic Prosperity Partnership Dialogue
🔺 Joint initiatives on #education, #science and #technology and cooperation in infrastructure financing in #NewSouthboundPolicy countries
🔺 Seven virtual Global Cooperation and Training Framework workshops
2⃣ Pandemic-Prevention Performance
🔺 𝟓𝟎 million✨ surgical face masks and other #PPE donated to over 𝟖𝟎✨ countries around the world
🔺 Increased engagement with other countries on pandemic-prevention cooperation
🔺 MOFA Minister gave 𝟓𝟎✨ interviews to international media
🔺 Former Vice President Chen Chien-jen gave testimony to a #UK Parliamentary Committee
🔺 Digital Minister Audrey Tang’s participated in a range of virtual meetings with government officials, think tanks and schools in the US, Canada, Japan and Europe
3⃣ Closer Taiwan-Europe ties
🔺 Senate President Miloš Vystrčil of the #CzechRepublic led a delegation to Taiwan
🔺 Exchange and cooperation with Europe in the wake of EU’s Europe-Asia Connectivity Strategy
🔺 President Tsai Ing-wen gave opening addresses for the Copenhagen Democracy Summit
🔺 President Tsai and Minister Joseph Wu addressed the Forum 2000 Conference
🔺 Parliaments of several European countries expressed their support for Taiwan
4⃣ New Overseas Offices
🔺 New offices in #Somaliland, #Guam and #AixEnProvence this year
5⃣ Global support for Taiwan
🔺 European #FormosaClub expanded its ranks to over 100 members from over 10 countries
🔺 Taiwan-friendly parliamentarians in #LatinAmerica and #Africa established their own chapters, with 144 members from 17 countries and 181 members from 29 countries respectively
🔺 The Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China (#IPAC) expressed support for Taiwan and for the Taiwan Model of pandemic prevention
🔺 𝟏,𝟕𝟎𝟎✨ parliamentarians from over 𝟖𝟎✨ countries called for Taiwan’s inclusion in the #WHO during the resumed WHO session
6⃣ Global Profile
🔺 US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, former Japanese Prime Minister Abe Shinzo and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen openly expressed thanks to Taiwan
🔺 Over 𝟑,𝟓𝟎𝟎✨ positive international media reports this year
🔺 President Tsai won 2020 ALEC International Pioneer Award and was listed by TIME Magazine as one of the most influential leaders this year
🔺 Taiwan shortlisted for The Economist Country of the Year
主持人：陳鳳馨
來賓：丁學文
主題：一週國際經濟趨勢
①《經濟學人》封面故事：Science after the pandemic 談醫療科學的光明面
②《倫敦金融時報》社論：How to handle the gamification of investing 談全球年輕散戶投資人的風險〉
③《經濟學人》緒論：Turkey and emerging markets 談土耳其給其他新興市場的啟示
④《經濟學人》財經板塊：Inflation expectations 談通貨膨脹的可能發展
節目時間：週一至週五 07:00-09:00am
本集播出日期：2021.03.31
#陳鳳馨 #TheEconomist #一週國際經濟趨勢
🔔 圖片取自：The Economist
https://www.economist.com/weeklyedition/2021-03-27
📣 更多 #財經起床號 專題影音：https://bit.ly/2QvBR55
🔍 馨天地
Apple Podcast：https://reurl.cc/kVOXMx
Google Podcast：https://reurl.cc/7y0k45
-----
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▍九八新聞台@大台北地區 FM98.1
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Professor Naki is an economist who - for the past 50 years - has been tackling the climate crisis through the lens of technological change and economic development. He’s the former deputy general of IIASA in Vienna (Int’l Institute for Applied Systems Analysis) and was a part of the beginning of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change).
To kick off our second season, we speak to Professor Naki on what we need to do to reach our Sustainable Development Goals by 2030.
This is a podcast about how NOT to save the environment. Hosted by Nature N8 (Nate Maynard), an environmental researcher working on energy, ocean, and waste issues.
Send your questions to ask@wastenotwhynot.com
Support us on Patreon: “Waste Not Why Not”
Follow us on Facebook “Waste Not Why Not” and Twitter @wastenotpod
FOOTNOTE
On Nebojsa Nakicenovic (aka Professor Naki):
https://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/research/researchPrograms/TransitionstoNewTechnologies/Nebojsa-Nakicenovic.en.html
On UN Millennium Goals:
https://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/
On SDG (Sustainable Development Goals): https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/sdgs
On IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change):
https://www.ipcc.ch
On UNFCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change): https://unfccc.int/about-us/about-the-secretariat
SHOW CREDIT
Host - Nate Maynard (Twitter @N8May)
Producers & Editor - Emily Y. Wu (Twitter @emilyywu), Allison Chan
Researcher - Yu-Chen Lai
Executive Producer - Emily Y. Wu (Twitter @emilyywu)
Brand Design - Thomas Lee
Production Company - Ghost Island Media (www.ghostisland.media)
MB01WR8IJHWPCOG
＃記得打開ＣＣ字幕 ＃畢業季＝分手季？
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各節重點：
00:29 為什麼會有分手潮？
03:07 等等！難道我們的感情敵不過時間的考驗？
03:45 我們的觀點
06:32 提問
06:50 掰比～別忘了訂閱！
【 製作團隊 】
｜企劃：＋🐟
｜腳本：＋🐟
｜剪輯後製：Pookie
｜剪輯助理：絲繡
｜演出：志祺
——
【 本集參考資料 】
→ 她打開了人生的視野，決定和「台灣上層階級培育出來的菁英」男友分手：https://reurl.cc/5WN4V
→ Economist: ‘Tis the Season to Break Up：https://reurl.cc/Lro4K
→ 社會比較：https://reurl.cc/Elv4k
→ 真的有年末分手潮？：https://reurl.cc/RGoq6
→ How do holidays influence relationship processes and outcomes? Examining the instigating and catalytic effects of Valentine's Day：https://reurl.cc/m5QM7
→ 七夕分手潮：我們還能當朋友嗎？：https://reurl.cc/jZeyM
→ 多年前 Gary Lewandowski 根據 Facebook 的統計圖指出，暑假對於大學生來說的確是關係終止（同時也是關係開始）的時刻（summer-lovin-or-summer-leavin），但比起畢業和假期，更重要的或許是兩個人對彼此的感覺是什麼，問題是，如果他真的有分手的念頭，會跟你說實話嗎？
→ [1]Lee, S., Rogge, R. D., & Reis, H. T. (2010). Assessing the Seeds of Relationship Decay: Using Implicit Evaluations to Detect the Early Stages of Disillusionment. Psychological Science, 21(6), 857-864. doi: 10.1177/0956797610371342
→ 這邊是海苔熊的觀點：https://reurl.cc/Ndogm
＊特殊時機
・二月十四號 白色情人節 而且時間在剛開學
・七夕情人節 時間正好也在在暑假結束快開學
・過農曆年，一起見對方家人
上述節日跟情侶尤其相關，有比較多的機會去思考與對方的關係
＊為什麼？
・期待感落差
・過去專家調查發現，伴侶們在壓力增加的時候，溝通技巧會惡化，以聖誕節來說，就不只是檞寄生下接吻的浪漫，從節日前的採購、備餐、買禮物、付帳單…，都是聖誕節的一環。
・此外，感恩節和新年還更慘。神經心理學家夏普（John Sharp）就解釋，「日光時間變短對事情一點幫助也沒有，人們變得更疲勞易怒，此時自我療癒也變得相當流行。」
也就是說，進入冬天的我們少了溫暖、少了日光，卻多了壓力。
・此外，歲末也會促使大家反省這一年的「作為」。
「這段時間以來我快樂嗎？」
「我跟他真的適合嗎？」
「這個人是否可靠？」
「一年來的相處，他是否值得我等待、犧牲其他更多更好的機會？」
「我是否還有更多的可能，而不是被對方綁在這關係裡？」
＊換環境
・當兵
・遠距離
・畢業後就業
→環境改變，兩人開始有不同的生活經驗，久而久之能有共鳴的是可能也逐漸減少，而漸行漸遠
但也有人不這麼想
＊可能就只是巧合
・定義：相關的事物基於偶然的因素同時發生
・然而有些人並不會用「偶然」來解釋巧合，反而會自動尋找事物之間的關聯意義，比方說上述的「時機點」或是「換環境」
事實上，關係的結束並非一瞬間，而是一個階段性的過程。
Steve Duck是研究人際關係的著名學者，他曾經提出一個引用率相當高的關係結束模型(1982)，從關係的破 裂(breakdown)開始，區分了六個關係結束的階段(phases of relationship dissolution)，分別是:
・1.關係的破裂：關係中的一方開始對這段關係感到不滿意或是不耐煩。
→接著，必須跨越一個「我再也不能 忍受(I can stand this anymore)」的門檻之後，才會進入到第二個時期「內在心裡階段」
・2.內在心理階段(intrapsychic phase)：對關係感到不滿的這個人，會開始對伴侶感到不滿，於是他/她可能會對外發展其他替代的關係或社交活動
→當他/她認為自己「進 行抽離、離開的活動擁有其正當性(I’d be justified in withdrawing)」的時候，就進 入到了第三個階段「互動階段」
・3.互動階段(dyad phase)：兩人開始相互對峙(confrontation)，兩人的問題 透過直接的或是間接的方式被揭露出來，使得兩人可能會發生爭吵、協商或是修 補彼此關係
→而當雙方的關係無法挽回，跨越了「我們決定要分手(I mean it)」 這個門檻的時候，就進入到了第四階段「社會階段」
・4.社會階段(social phase)：兩人會開始向各自的社會網 絡進行解釋和說明，向外尋求一些協助與支持，在此階段中，雙方的分開已經是 無法避免的情形了，雙方都已經接受分手的事實，並試圖要去面對它
→一 旦跨越了「分手是無法避免的(it’s now inevitable)」這一個門檻的時候，就進入到 了第五階段「墳墓妝點階段」
・5.墳墓妝點階段(grave-dressing phase)：分手者開始整理過去的回憶，並同時進行自我修補 的過程，他/她會開始發展其版本的分手原因和過程
→而當分手者「準備好要迎 接新生活(time to get a new life)」的時候，就進入到了最後一個階段，也就是「恢 復階段」
・6.恢復階段(resurrection phase)：在這個階段中分手者會開始準備面臨新的生活或是新的關係。
在 Duck(2007)的模型中，這六個階段的關係並不是不可逆的，也就是說，如果在某一個階段時，兩人該階段的問題已經得到修補或解決，於是此對伴侶的狀況將不會往下一個階段進行，而是回到之前的某個階段，繼續維持兩人的關係。
但是，如果一對伴侶最終是走向分手一途，他們則會 經歷此六個階段的歷程。於是，在此，我是將這六個階段的內容依序描述介紹出來，而不談可能折 返回到之前的階段或是繼續維持兩人關係的情形。
・就我們的看法會認為，關係中的問題本來就存在了，「換環境」或是「特殊時機」只是一個契機，讓關係中的問題浮現，而分手則是因為在當下兩人可能都無力、無法解決這些問題，只好選擇分開。
・心理學家Silvia(2009)曾提出一個看法，我自己也蠻認同的。她提到，「只有相處時不需特別「用力」 (pay effort extremely)的關係才能維持長久，也能抵擋這種時序情境的考驗」。
・溝通對彼此的期待
＼每週７天，每天７點，每次７分鐘，和我們一起了解更多有趣的生活議題吧！／
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